這個問題之前就有評論員分析過 ，目前我看到的主要有兩大類觀點 ，我覺得都有道理也都不能算是完全解釋事情的真相 ，現在羅列在下麵 ，僅供參考 。
首先是 ，控球後衛這個位置本身 ，在季後賽的高強度有針對性的對抗裏 ，對比賽的影響力在早年大家沒有這麽強調外線投射的年代 ，相比於其他位置的持球攻堅球員 ，在攻防兩端的都是偏低的 。進攻端哪怕加上擋拆 ，由於季後賽雙方的防守策略都是偏保守和高強度的 ，除非自己能直接持球投死對手 ，否則能夠送出輕鬆助攻 ，或者對對方防守策略的破壞力（吸引包夾） ，遠沒有內線杵著一個鄧肯或者外線多一個科比或者庫裏那麽可怕 。不管是自己單打還是叫擋拆叫跑位 ，進攻戰術發起點偏外也導致進攻籃板率偏低 。防守端由於pg通常是最矮最瘦弱的位置，所以能夠換防 ，補防和執行包夾的能力較低，很難通過自己的防守態度和技巧限製對位球員以外的人 ，相比之下二三號位可以換防 ，四五號位可以護框 ，對防守的貢獻值自然上限就高了 。
第二個方麵就是，球權集中在一個人手上 ，不管他是自己撕破對手防線還是給隊友創造機會，進攻端都是有上限的 ，從策略上來說也是非常容易預判的 ，因此 ，隊伍隻有一個戰術發起點 ，想要奪冠是非常困難的 ，近20年做的最好的大概也就是lbj了 ，還擁有幾十年一遇的身體素質 。對比之下一號位那幾位。。並不是說一定沒有機會拿冠軍（比如如果沒有霍利那一撞 ，07年的冠軍很可能是太陽的） ，但是幾率確實非常小
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